SPREAD AWARENESS WEEK 9: WINNERS, AND TRAPS, AND BLACKSHIRTS, OH MY!

By Nickdo on October 25, 2019 at 10:36 am
B1G title game preview?
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Week 9 is here and we have AT LEAST 9 winners for you. We also answer a number of burning questions like will the final score of Iowa vs Northwestern be 3-0 or 6-3? Can Wisconsin escape the trap Illinois placed them in? Will Minnesota get trapped? Is Nebraska wearing black jerseys because their season is dead?

The answer to the last one is yes, RIP Nebraska.

#20 Iowa -9.5 @ Northwestern (11:00 AM CST, ESPN2)

Iowa got back to its winning ways last week by scoring TWO (2) touchdowns against Purdue, look out, world! They now take their high powered offense to Chicago to take on the 1-5 Northwestern Wildcats in what is sure to be a back and forth shootout. Northwestern has only scored more than 15 points once this season, and that was against a 2-5 UNLV team. They have beaten Iowa three times in a row, which is pretty disgusting, and I have a terrible feeling that Iowa is going to find a way to lose this game as well. Good news though, usually when I think this Iowa wins by a lot. I am going to go against my dumb brain and actually take IOWA, you should too! Also, a total of 37.5 points with how college football is played these days is preposterous. There are 55 FBS games this weekend and guess what, this is the lowest total on the board. The total is so low that you absolutely have to bet the under because if you don’t you will feel like an idiot when the final score is 6-5.

PICK: IOWA -9.5, UNDER 37.5

#3 Ohio State -17 vs #13 Wisconsin (11:00 AM CST, FOX)

I hate to say I told you so, Wisconsin, but I told you so. THE TRAP WAS RIGHT IN FRONT OF YOUR EYES BUT YOU WERE TO BUSY STUFFING YOUR FACE WITH CHEESE TO SEE IT. Woah, that was kind of rude, my bad.

This is likely a preview of the Big Ten Championship game (sorry, Minnesota and Penn State). Ohio State is very good, and they have basically been free money all year long. They are 6-1 ATS and they haven’t really even been close to not covering.

OSU ATS

With that being said, Wisconsin as a 14 point dog seems like a huge overreaction. Yeah, losing to Illinois is terrible, but teams get trapped all of the time, look at Georgia! Wisconsin will be fine, and at some point, OSU isn’t going to cover, might as well be this week!

PICK: WISCONSIN +14

Illinois +10 @ Purdue (11:00 AM CST, BTN)

THE DISRESPECT FOR THE FIGHTING ILLINI IS UNREAL!!! They upset a top 10 team and are repaid by being a 10 point dog to 2-5 PURDUE????? THIS IS ABSOLU (looks at the Illinois vs Wisconsin game recap) wait….Illinois never even entered the red zone against Wisconsin? Yikes!

PICK: PURDUE -10

Nebraska -2 vs Indiana (2:30 PM CST, BTN)

The Blackshirts are officially back! Not the good defense blackshirts from the 1990’s that everyone in Nebraska constantly talks about, but the literal black alternate jerseys the Huskers are wearing on Saturday. We almost always bet on a team that is wearing sweet jerseys, it’s kind of our thing, but we don’t even think jerseys can save this team. 70% of the money bet on this game is on the Huskers covering which has moved the line from Indiana -1.5 to Nebraska -2. I liked Indiana at -1.5, I absolutely LOVE them at +2. BET THE HOUSE ON THE HOOSIERS!

PICK: Indiana +2

#6 Penn State -6.5 @ Michigan State (2:30 PM CST, ABC)

With Minnesota next week some might call this a TRAP game. As the official TRAP King, I have a very detailed formula and after running the numbers, this does not qualify as a trap game. Penn State shouldn’t have any issues with the Spartans.

PICK: Penn State -6.5

#17 Minnesota -16.5 vs Maryland (2:30 PM CST, ESPN)

IT’S A TRAP! An undefeated Minnesota team as a double-digit favorite with Penn State waiting next week vs a Maryland team that has proven it can score lots of points sometimes…LOOK OUT GOPHERS!

PICK: Maryland +16.5

#8 Notre Dame -1 @ #18 Michigan

In their two biggest games of the year so far (Wisconsin and Penn State) Michigan has been outscored 49-7 in the first half. In the second half of those games, they have given up a total of 14 points. What I am saying is, if Michigan can keep it close early they will win this game. I am just not sure if they can do that…

PICK: NOTRE DAME -1, UNDER 51

BIG GAMES, BIGGER WINNERS

Liberty -7.5 vs Rutgers: This game could have gone in the Big Ten section, but it is bigger than that. This could literally be the last game all year that Rutgers scores a touchdown. Sure, they can maybe get one in vs Illinois, but their last three games after that are Ohio State, Michigan State, and Penn State...Yeah, lets score some touchdowns this week Rutgers, I believe in you! I don’t believe in you enough to pick you to cover, though.

Oklahoma State +10.5 @ #23 Iowa State: At this point, we are just going to keep betting on Oklahoma State until we win one.

#2 LSU-10.5 vs #9 Auburn: Coach O has put together the best offense in the country. I don’t think anyone expected that. GEAUX TIGERS

#15 Texas -1.5 @ TCU: Texas almost lost to Kansas, which would have been hilarious. That’d be like the second-best team in the Big Ten losing to Illinois, it would never happen! Texas will bounce back here vs a TCU team that has lost in back to back weeks to Iowa State and Kansas State.

 

YTD Record: 43-45-2

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