#3 IOWA VS #14 PURDUE: PREVIEW + OPEN THREAD

By RossWB on November 24, 2018 at 9:00 am
go hawks go
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WHO: #14 Purdue Boilermakers (2-0)
WHEN: Saturday, November 24, 2018
START TIME: 12:00 PM CT
WHERE: Carver Hawkeye Arena (Iowa City, IA)
TV: BTN
ONLINE: BTN2Go | Flowrestling 
RADIO: Hawkeye All-Access; AM 800 near Iowa City or iHeart Radio (online)

Once upon a time, the Big Ten portion of Iowa's dual meet schedule didn't begin until January. Then it started creeping into December and this year Iowa's Big Ten opener is this weekend, in November. Iowa hosts 14th-ranked Purdue on Saturday afternoon at Carver-Hawkeye Arena for the latest installment in a series that has been very lopsided over the years. Iowa is 41-4-3 against Purdue and has won 29 dual meets in a row over the Boilermakers; the last time they didn't win was in 1966, when Iowa and Purdue tied, 14-14. Iowa is 21-1-2 all-time against Purdue in Iowa City. 

This year Purdue brings a #14 ranking and a lineup with five ranked wrestlers into the match-up... but odds are good they're going to leave with another lopsided defeat. Of the five weights where they have a ranked wrestler slated to compete, Iowa has a wrestled ranked equivalently or higher at four of those weights. And they have ranked wrestlers at several weights where Purdue doesn't have a ranked wrestler, which figures to result in bonus point victories for the Hawkeyes. 

WEIGHT IOWA VS PURDUE PREDICTION
125 #1 Spencer Lee (3-0, So) vs #15 Devin Shroder (7-1, So) Lee via TF (IOWA 5-0)
133 #10 Austin DeSanto (3-0, So) vs #18 Ben Thornton (10-0, Sr) DeSanto via DEC (IOWA 8-0)
141 #16 Max Murin (3-0, RS Fr) vs #19 Nate Limmex (8-2, Jr) / 
Alec White (4-4, RS Fr)
Murin via MD (IOWA 12-0)
149 #11 Pat Lugo (1-2, Jr) vs Parker Filius (8-2, RS Fr) / 
Austin Nash (1-6, Jr)
Lugo via MD (IOWA 16-0)
157 #13 Kaleb Young (3-0, So) vs Griffin Parriott (0-0, So) Young via DEC (IOWA 19-0)
165 #4 Alex Marinelli (3-0, So) vs Cole Wysocki (6-4, Jr) Marinelli via MD (IOWA 23-0)
174 Myles Wilson (2-1, RS Fr) vs #13 Dylan Lydy (8-2, Jr) Lydy via DEC (IOWA 23-3)
184 #11 Cash Wilcke (3-0, Jr) / 
Mitch Bowman (1-0, Sr)
vs Max Lyon (9-2, So) Wilcke via DEC (IOWA 26-3)
197 #12 Jacob Warner (0-0, RS Fr) / 
Connor Corbin (1-1, RS Fr)
vs #11 Christian Brunner (4-1, Jr) Warner via DEC (IOWA 29-3)
285 Aaron Costello (3-0, RS Fr) vs Jacob Aven (4-6, Sr) Costello via DEC (IOWA 32-3)

A few thoughts: 

  • One of the stronger parts of Purdue's lineup is from 125-141, where they have three ranked wrestlers. The bad news is that's also arguably the strongest part of Iowa's lineup, thanks to the presence of Spencer Lee and the strong debuts that Austin DeSanto and Max Murin have made this season. 
     
  • Purdue is not as strong at the middleweights, outside of Dylan Lydy at 174. I expect Purdue to get on the board in that match and Lydy could get bonus points if Myles Wilson struggles the way he did against Princeton last week. 
     
  • Myles Wilson is set to compete because Michael Kemerer is once again being held out of competition (at least according to the Match Notes) at 174 lbs. Kemerer (174) and Sam Stoll (285) have yet to make their debuts this season and there's been no indication of when that might change or what the timetable for their returns to the lineup looks like. Caution seems to be ruling the day with their usage as they're both reportedly dealing with injury issues of some sort. While it's frustrating not to get to see them yet, that caution is probably prudent -- it's more important to have them available in February and March than it is in November and December. 
     
  • One Hawkeye who may be making his season debut Saturday is Jacob Warner, who's listed as a possible starter at 197. We've been waiting for him to debut for a while, but Brands & Co. have elected to ease him into things after he competed at the Junior World Championships earlier this fall. Assuming he does compete he should see a solid opponent: #11 Christian Brunner, who actually beat Warner last year at Midlands (10-6) during his redshirt season. 
     
  • Purdue brings one former Iowa prep on their roster, Max Lyon at 184. He and projected Iowa starter Aaron Costello were teammates at Western Dubuque just a few years ago. 

This dual is on BTN, which means it will be much easier to watch than Iowa's previous duals this season. Unfortunately, I'll be taking part in some Thanksgiving-related travels during the meet, so I won't be able to post results/observations in the comments during the dual. You all are free to do so, though! 

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