#1 Iowa vs #18 Purdue Wrestling: Preview + Open Thread

By RossWB on January 12, 2020 at 11:17 am
go hawks go
@Hawks_Wrestling
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WHO: #18 Purdue Boilermakers (7-1, 0-0 Big Ten)
WHEN: Sunday, January 12, 2020
WHERE: Holloway Gymnasium (West Lafayette, IN)
KICKOFF: 3:00 PM Central
TV: none
ONLINE: BTN+ / Flowrestling
RADIO: Hawkeye Sports Network (check local listings); TuneIn (maybe)
ANNOUNCERS: ???

Compared to the Indiana dual meet on Friday night, the Purdue dual meet holds a lot more intrigue. The Boilermakers could have six ranked wrestlers in action, including four potential All-Americans. They should provide quality competition for Iowa at 125, 149, 157, 174, and 197. That said, while this likely won't be another 41-0 wipeout, it should still be a pretty comfortable Iowa win. 

WEIGHT IOWA VS PURDUE
125 #1 Spencer Lee (7-0, JR) vs #5 Devin Schroder (18-2, JR)
133 #2 Austin DeSanto (9-1, JR) vs Travis Ford-Melton (12-5, FR)
141 #5 Max Murin (9-0, SO) vs #33 Parker Fillus (12-4, SO)
149 #1 Pat Lugo (11-0, SR) vs Nate Limmex (8-5, SR)
#14 Griffin Parriott (13-4, JR)
157 #4 Kaleb Young (8-2, JR) vs #7 Kendall Coleman (21-5, RS FR)
165 #2 Alex Marinelli (11-0, JR) vs Tanner Webster (2-5, SO)
174 #2 Michael Kemerer (5-0, SR) vs #4 Dylan Lydy (21-0, SR)
184 Abe Assad (16-3, FR)
Nelson Brands (3-2, RS FR)
#10 Cash Wilcke (11-2, SR)
vs Max Lyon (13-7, JR)
Jared Florell (3-2, SO)
197 #5 Jacob Warner (9-2, SO) vs #3 Christian Brunner (20-3, SR)
285 #3 Tony Cassioppi (10-0, RS FR) vs Thomas Penola (15-8, RS FR)
David Eli (5-7, SO)

Wrestlestat currently projects a 33-3 Iowa win. Here are my weight-by-weight thoughts:

125: Schroeder is off to a good start this season and has elevated himself into All-America consideration. But he lost 6-2 to Jack Mueller in his only other match against an elite 125er this year and Lee is on another level. Surprisingly, this is the first meeting between Lee and Schroeder in their college careers. I think Lee will take Schroeder on a trip to Tilt Town. 
IOWA 5, PURDUE 0

133: Ford-Melton has had a decent freshman start to date, but he hasn't faced any elite 133ers until now -- and he's never faced someone with the ferocious tempo and offensive skill of DeSanto. I expect the DeSanto whirlwind to claim another tech fall victory. 
IOWA 10, PURDUE 0

141: Filius is solid, but not on Murin's level. That said, Murin hasn't been a top source of bonus points for Iowa this year and I'm not expecting that to change here. 
IOWA 13, PURDUE 0

149: Limmex got the nod for Purdue in their dual against Northwestern on Friday night. Lugo should be able to beat either Limmex or Parriott, but bonus points seems unlikely in either case. 
IOWA 16, PURDUE 0

157: This weight should be one of the matches of the night, with #7 Coleman and #4 Young squaring off. This is a rematch from Midlands a few weeks ago; Young won that match with a pin in sudden victory, but it was a very tight match before hit that big move at the end of the sudden victory period. The key for Young will be avoiding Coleman's quick attacks and finding a way to get to Coleman's legs sooner in the match and score points. Coleman was dominated by Northwestern's Ryan Deakin 14-0 on Friday night. I expect a much tighter match here, but I'm going to trust in Young to get the key takedown to win it. 
IOWA 19, PURDUE 0

165: The Bull is riding high right now and he's been in a pinning mood of late; I think he could get another fall here against a very overmatched opponent. 
IOWA 25, PURDUE 0

174: This ought to be the match of the dual with a pair of Top 5 wrestlers squaring off for the first time ever. Lydy is 21-0 this season and won Midlands a few weeks ago, but his best wins are a pair of close victories over UNI's Bryce Steiert. Kemerer is also undefeated, but has wrestled a very light schedule so far -- and he hasn't faced any top 174ers to date. Kemerer had some fatigue issues in his win on Friday, too, which could be an issue here as well. If Kemerer can get to his offense early, I think he can pull out the win here. The longer this match goes scoreless, though, the better it should be for Lydy, who could steal a win late. I'm going with Kemerer because I believe in his offensive skills, but this is awfully close to a coin-flip. 
IOWA 28, PURDUE 0

184: Does Abe Assad get another start here? You'd expect so after Brands burned his redshirt on Friday night -- if he's the guy at this spot this year, he should get as many matches as possible. FUN FACT: assuming Assad does start for Iowa at this weight, Max Lyon will be the only Iowa native to start in this dual meet. I expect Assad to win a close-ish decision. 
IOWA 31, PURDUE 0

197: This is the other top match of the dual meet. Brunner is 20-3 this season and won Midlands a few weeks ago, beating Princeton's Patrick Brucki and Virginia's Jay Aiello, both of whom beat Warner at Midlands. But Brunner also dropped a 4-2 decision to Northwestern's Jacob Davison in sudden victory on Friday night. The head-to-head series between Brunner and Warner is tied 1-1; Brunner beat him 10-6 at Midlands two years ago, while Warner had a controlling 6-0 win at the Big Ten Tournament last year. Which Warner shows up here? Which Brunner? I went with Iowa in the other two close matches (157, 174), so I'll give Purdue the nod here, but it could go either way. 
IOWA 31, PURDUE 3

285: Is Tony Pins going to go 2-for-2 with pins this weekend? Well, he pinned Penola in 1:31 at Midlands two weeks ago, so I'm going to say... yes.
IOWA 37, PURDUE 3

The usual rules apply. Feel free to post results and commentary below. 

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