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houksyndrome

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MEMBER SINCE   September 27, 2016

Recent Activity

Comment 05 Dec 2019

I'm really big on Toussaint as well.  Fun fact, he has the highest usage rate on the team, at 29.9%.  So, when he's on the floor, about a third of our possessions end with him doing something (shooting, assisting, turning the ball over, getting fouled).  For comparison, Garza's usage rate is only 28.1%.  

It is well known that efficiency tends to decrease as usage rate increases, and Toussaint is a freshman, so Toussaint's poor shooting percentages shouldn't be alarming or unexpected.

Comment 04 Dec 2019

I don't think this team has the horses to make the NCAA tournament this season (too many injuries) but I like what I'm seeing from them in terms of grit, effort and teamwork.  Garza has taken a major step forward, Fredrick looks great, Toussaint is promising (if he starts to make shots, watch out!), Connor is finding a groove on offense.

Somehow we are the 6th best offense in the country per KenPom (9th per Torvik) despite only having four guys that can score on the whole roster.  Connor McCaffery, who is not one of the four guys that I was just referring too, is currently sporting an offensive efficiency rating of 132.5 (per KenPom/Torvik), which ranks 35th nationally, among all players.  This is largely on the back of his elite assist and turnover rates.

Comment 04 Dec 2019

I agree with you about Bohannon as the ball handler.  I really like having a great shooter at PG.  If he plays off the ball, the other team can deny him the ball.  

Comment 02 Dec 2019

I am glad I recorded that meet.  It sure is fun piss pounding Wisconsin at, well, anything.  I was explaining to my wife how fun this team is to watch. . . right before the 184 and 197 matches but, whatever, I stand by it.  This is a fun team to watch.  

Austin DeSanto!

Comment 01 Dec 2019

I'm looking forward to watching us absolutely stomp the Badgers this afternoon.  Our (repeated) losses to them in football continue to vex me and I need our wrestling team to kick the living crap out of them today.

Comment 28 Nov 2019

He's put in major work since last season.  Looks much stronger to me.  And he's a rim protector all of a sudden.

Comment 28 Nov 2019

Yep.  In the starting lineup for the first time this year.  Hawks started Bohannon, Fredrick, Wieskamp, Connor and Garza.

Comment 28 Nov 2019

Our defense is holding up so far.  Got lucky on that missed dunk.  I really do not like having Garza switch against ball screens.

Comment 28 Nov 2019

Here's a reason for hope:  I'm pretty sure that at this point in the season, the Pomeroy/Torvik rankings are still heavily influenced by the preseason projections.  So perhaps Texas Tech isn't as awesome as Pomeroy/Torvik have them ranked.

Of course, a similar argument could apply to our offense. . .

Comment 28 Nov 2019

Thanks for the kind words everyone!

PPP (points per possession) is not a function of time, at least not directly.  It’s points per possession, not points per minute so the possessions could be long, the possessions could be short, it doesn’t matter as far as points per possession is concerned.  But if our probability of scoring changes the longer a possession goes, then long possessions could reduce our PPP.

You hit on something about our offensive style changing when Toussaint is in the game.  Surprisingly, Toussaint has the second highest usage rate on the team after Garza so he absolutely is a focal point for us on offense when he is in the game.  Garza is used on 29.9% of the possessions when he is on the floor.  For Toussaint, it is 27.8% and the next highest usage player for us is Nunge at 21.2%.  Wieskamp, Fredrick and Connor are 18.9%, 16.9% and 14.3%, respectively.  Cook, last season, was only 26.3%.

Toussaint does “point guard stuff” exactly as you said.  I actually think we need him to do that because, with the exception of Garza in the post, I don’t really see anyone with the ability to consistently beat their defender one on one.  This is especially true for our bench lineups, IMO.  We can get baskets with our motion and set plays but, especially against good defenses that are familiar with us, I feel like we’re going to need one of our guys to just whip one of their guys in order for us to meet our offensive projections this seasons (i.e. top 10-20).  Hopefully Toussaint can do that for us, either this season or down the road.

Comment 23 Nov 2019

I don't think so.  It looked to me like Geno was trying to avoid contact at the last moment once he realized that the ball was gone and just barely clipped him as he ran by.  Unfortunately for all parties, he caught him in the head.  That's my take, anyways. 

Comment 22 Nov 2019

During his first two seasons, Garza's shooting percentage on two point attempts, against all opponents, was 61% (So) and 60% (Fr).  If you just count his shooting percentages in conference games (i.e. taller athletic guys), he shot 59% on two point attempts during those seasons.  His free throw rate (FTA/FGA) was not significantly different between conference games and non-conference games last season.  Neither was his turnover rate.  It's true that elite defenders can shut him down, and teams can make a concerted effort to deny him the ball and swarm him, but he has not shown much of a productivity difference between high quality competition and cupcakes, generally, during his career to this point.  It's true that he doesn't jump well and he often looks clunky, gets his shot blocked etc., but he puts the ball in the hoop.

You are right about us missing Cook, though.  Last year, we had Cook+Baer at the 4 spot.  This year, it's Nunge+Pemsl.  It's a big drop off.

Comment 22 Nov 2019

Exactly.  We appeared to be completely overwhelmed, athletically, by DePaul.  It's hard to be optimistic knowing that we've got 20+ games on this schedule against teams that are at (or above) DePaul's level, athletically.

Comment 22 Nov 2019

I agree with this 100%.  I believe that to be good on offense, you need at least one guy who can win one on one matchups and either score or draw additional defenders.  On this team, that's Garza, (hopefully) Wieskamp and (hopefully) Toussaint.  It would be wise to stagger their minutes somewhat so that we always have a playmaker on the floor.

Comment 17 Nov 2019

This is an excellent point.  Goodson and Sargent can both catch the ball.  Also, blitz pickups have been a problem for us all year (and in previous years as well).  A healthy screen game could be just what the doctor ordered.

Comment 17 Nov 2019

I didn't get a chance to watch the second half of the game yesterday so I'm watching it now for the first time.  I don't think I agree with the usual "second half turtling" narrative.  First possession of the second half, two of our three first down play calls were passes and the drive stalled when we had dropped passes on both first and second down and then gave up a sack on third down (screwed up against a stunt).  On our second possession, two of our three first down play calls were passes (with the third being a reverse to ISM).  I don't see a lack of aggressive play calling so far.