2021 Big Ten Wrestling Tournament: Pre-Seeds + Preview

By RossWB on March 5, 2021 at 3:43 pm @rosswb
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@Hawks_Wrestling (Twitter)
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This has been a thoroughly weird and dissatisfying wrestling season -- but at least we've had a season. And now it's time for the Big Ten Tournament. 

Here are the final brackets for the tournament -- almost no changes from the pre-seeds. Seeding these tournaments is always a challenge, but never more than this year, when guys wrestled 7-8 matches at the most and many wrestled less than that. Not to mention all the guys who didn't face each other at their respective weights for various reasons. So far that reason I have a hard time getting too worked up about the seeds this year -- in many cases, you could have drawn numbers out of a hat and probably done just as well. And, of course, it doesn't hurt that the seeding committee smiled favorably upon Iowa -- they have top-two seeds at seven weights -- and they have the #3 seed at two of the remaining three weights. 

The good news is that we'll get to see more of the tournament than ever before on the Big Ten Network. 

Big Ten 2021 TV

BTN will have coverage of the quarterfinals on Saturday morning, cutting between several different matches, RedZone Channel-style. If you want to see the full match you should be able to do so on BTN+. (All consolation mat action should also be on BTN+.) The semifinals will be aired live on BTN for the first time ever on Saturday night and, as usual, the full Sunday finals session will be aired on BTN. 

125 lbs

SEED WRESTLER SCHOOL ELIG RECORD
1 Spencer Lee Iowa SR 4-0
2 Liam Cronin Nebraska SR 7-1
3 Malik Heinselman Ohio State JR 7-1
4 Patrick McKee Minnesota SO 6-3
5 Rayvon Foley Michigan State JR 4-3
6 Eric Barnett Wisconsin SO 5-2
7 Devin Schroeder Purdue SR 6-3
8 Michael DeAugustino Northwestern SO 3-1
9 Dylan Ragusin Michigan FR 4-1
10 Justin Cardani Illinois SO 2-6
11 Robert Howard Penn State FR 2-1
12 Jacob Moran Indiana FR 5-5
13 Dylan Shawver Rutgers FR 2-0
14 Zach Spence Maryland RS FR 0-5

DEFENDING CHAMPION: Spencer Lee, Iowa 
PROJECTED CHAMPION: Lee over Cronin
BIG TEN AUTOMATIC QUALIFYING SPOTS:
THOUGHTS: It's been a strange year at this weight, outside of the very top, where Spencer Lee remains a dominant and unstoppable force. Rayvon Foley entered the year ranked #2 in the nation; he's the #5 pre-seed. Devin Schroeder was the Big Ten runner-up last year; he's the #7 pre-seed this year. The questions for Lee aren't whether he'll win, but whether he'll pin everyone he faces and how much time he'll spend on the mat. My guesses are "yes" and "under seven minutes total." I think Lee's side of the bracket is more challenging than the other side, but it shouldn't really matter. 

133 lbs

SEED WRESTLER SCHOOL ELIG REC
1 Roman Bravo-Young Penn State JR 6-0
2 Austin DeSanto Iowa SR 5-0
3 Lucas Byrd Illinois FR 7-1
4 Chris Cannon Northwestern FR 5-0
5 Jack Medley Michigan JR 5-3
6 Boo Dyrden Minnesota SR 5-4
7 Jordan Decatur Ohio State SO 6-4
8 Jacob Rundell Purdue FR 3-4
9 Kyle Burwick Wisconsin RS FR 3-4
10 Tucker Sjomeling Nebraska SR 3-4
11 Jordan Hamdan Michigan State RS FR 3-4
12 Kyle Luigs Indiana JR 1-6
13 Jackson Cockrell Maryland FR 0-8
14 Shane Metzler Rutgers JR 1-1

DEFENDING CHAMPION: n/a
PROJECTED CHAMPION:  Bravo-Young over DeSanto
BIG TEN AUTOMATIC QUALIFYING SPOTS: 8
THOUGHTS: This was a brutally challenging weight class last year but it's eased up a bit this year with Michigan's Stevan Micic unable to compete due to injuries and Rutgers' Sebastian Rivera (formerly of Northwestern) up at 141 lbs. I don't see anyone here who can prevent another showdown between Bravo-Young and DeSanto. DeSanto and Bravo-Young are tied 2-2 in their career, with DeSanto winning the first two and Bravo-Young taking the most recent matches, one via injury default (he was leading at the time) and a narrow 3-2 win at Big Tens last year. This is a coin-flip match, but since RBY has had the upper hand lately, I'm picking him to win again here. 

141 lbs

SEED WRESTLER SCHOOL ELIG REC
1 Jaydin Eierman Iowa SR 5-0
2 Nick Lee Penn State SR 6-0
3 Sebastian Rivera Northwestern SR 4-0
4 Chad Red Nebraska SR 8-1
5 Dylan Duncan Illinois SR 4-2
6 Marcos Polanco Minnesota FR 5-4
7 Dylan D'Emilio Ohio State RS FR 4-4
8 Drew Mattin Michigan JR 3-3
9 Parker Filius Purdue JR 3-5
10 Danny Bertoni Maryland JR 2-6
11 Cayden Rooks Indiana SO 2-6
12 Matt Santos Michigan State SR 3-2
13 Colin Valdiviez Northwestern JR 2-5
14 Dominic Dentino Wisconsin SO 0-7

DEFENDING CHAMPION: n/a
PROJECTED CHAMPION: Eierman over Lee
BIG TEN AUTOMATIC QUALIFYING SPOTS: 8
THOUGHTS: Like 133, 141 has Iowa and Penn State wrestlers atop the seeds here. Unlike 133, 141 is a bit deeper because Rivera and Red are 100% capable of winning this weight as well. The semifinals here should be absolute fireworks. I think Eierman and Lee will get through those bouts and face off in the finals. That's a tough one to call, but Eierman has been too good this year to pick against. 

149 lbs

SEED WRESTLER SCHOOL ELIG REC
1 Sammy Sasso Ohio State SO 9-0
2 Max Murin Iowa JR 4-1
3 Griffin Parriott Purdue SR 4-0
4 Yahya Thomas Northwestern JR 6-2
5 Kanen Storr Michigan SR 4-2
6 Michael Blockhus Minnesota SO 5-4
7 Ridge Lovett Nebraska SO 5-0
8 Mike VanBrill Rutgers SR 1-3
9 Graham Rooks Indiana SO 2-2
10 Peyton Omania Michigan State FR 3-4
11 Beau Bartlett Penn State FR 7-1
12 Drew Scharenbrock Wisconsin SO 2-5
13 Christian Kanzler Illinois SR 2-3
14 Michael North Maryland RS FR 0-3

DEFENDING CHAMPION: n/a
PROJECTED CHAMPION: Sasso over Murin
BIG TEN AUTOMATIC QUALIFYING SPOTS: 7
THOUGHTS: I don't think there's much doubt that Sasso will be in the finals here. But will Murin be opposite him in that match? He has some interesting possible matchups with Lovett in the quarters and Parriott in the semis. While Iowa wrestled Nebraska and Purdue earlier in the season, Murin didn't face either guy. Murin was rock solid when we saw him on the mat, though, so I'll pick him to get to the finals. Sasso clearly had his number in their match earlier in the season, though, so he's the easy pick to win here. 

157 lbs

SEED WRESTLER SCHOOL ELIG REC
1 Ryan Deakin Northwestern SR 3-0
2 Kaleb Young Iowa SR 3-0
3 Brayton Lee Minnesota SO 7-2
4 Kendall Coleman Purdue SO 8-1
5 Brady Berge Penn State JR 5-0
6 Will Lewan Michigan SO 5-1
7 Chase Saldate Michigan State FR 4-3
8 Garrett Model Wisconsin JR 3-4
9 Elijah Cleary Ohio State SR 4-6
10 Caleb Licking Nebraska SR 3-4
11 Michael Doetsch Maryland SR 2-3
12 Johnny Mologousis Illinois JR 1-6
13 Luke Baughman Indiana RS FR 1-2
         

DEFENDING CHAMPION: Ryan Deakin, Northwestern
PROJECTED CHAMPION: Deakin over Lee
BIG TEN AUTOMATIC QUALIFYING SPOTS: 8
THOUGHTS: Thank goodness for that 0 in the loss column for Young; without that, he might have fallen down into the 4/5 line -- and the Ryan Deakin side of the bracket. That would have been a very rough path for him to go. I like his current draw much better, though a potential semifinal with Brayton Lee could be another coin-flip match. I actually picked Lee to edge Young here, mainly because I didn't want to pick all Iowa wrestlers to win... can't be a complete homer. 

165 lbs

SEED WRESTLER SCHOOL ELIG REC
1 Alex Marinelli Iowa SR 2-0
2 Danny Braunagel Illinois SO 6-0
3 Ethan Smith Ohio State JR 8-1
4 Cameron Amine Michigan FR 5-1
5 Andrew Sparks Minnesota FR 8-1
6 Joe Lee Penn State FR 4-2
7 Peyton Robb Nebraska SO 6-3
8 Jake Tucker Michigan State SR 3-4
9 Gerrit Nijenhuis Purdue FR 5-3
10 Nick South Indiana RS FR 3-5
11 Jonathan Spadafora Maryland RS FR 1-7
12 David Ferrante Northwestern FR 1-6
13 Brett Donner Rutgers SR 0-3
14 Josh Otto Wisconsin RS FR 0-5

DEFENDING CHAMPION: Alex Marinelli, Iowa
PROJECTED CHAMPION: Marinelli over Smith
BIG TEN AUTOMATIC QUALIFYING SPOTS: 8
THOUGHTS: Despite wrestling only two matches, The Bull is atop the seeds here. It's good to be undefeated -- and to be the two-time defending Big Ten champion. There's no Vincenzo Joseph to go through this time, though, and if Marinelli is healthy and ready to go, it's hard to see him not standing atop the field on Sunday again. He's undefeated in his career (2-0) against both Braunagel and Smith. 

174 lbs

SEED WRESTLER SCHOOL ELIG REC
1 Michael Kemerer Iowa SR 4-0
2 Mikey Labriola Nebraska JR 8-0
3 Carter Starocci Penn State FR 6-1
4 Logan Massa Michigan SR 5-1
5 Donnell Washington Indiana FR 6-2
6 Kaleb Romero Ohio State JR 5-2
7 Jackson Turley Rutgers SO 3-1
8 Jared Krattiger Wisconsin SO 3-3
9 Jake Allar Minnesota JR 5-4
10 Drew Hughes Michigan State SR 2-4
11 DJ Shannon Illinois RS FR 2-4
12 Emil Soehnlen Purdue FR 2-7
13 Troy Fisher Northwestern RS FR 1-7
14 Phillip Spadafora Maryland JR 1-7

DEFENDING CHAMPION: n/a
PROJECTED CHAMPION: Kemerer over Labriola
BIG TEN AUTOMATIC QUALIFYING SPOTS: 8
THOUGHTS: Outside of 141, this might be the most loaded weight in the tournament. Kemerer is the favorite here, but Labriola, Starocci, and Massa are all very strong challengers too and should make for a dynamite semifinal round. Kemerer and Massa and Starocci and Labriola have never faced off before. I think Kemerer comes out on top of the field and finally claims his long-awaited first Big Ten championship. 

184 lbs

SEED WRESTLER SCHOOL ELIG REC
1 Aaron Brooks Penn State SO 6-0
2 Christopher Weiler Wisconsin SR 4-2
3 Layne Malczewski Michigan State SO 6-1
4 Owen Webster Minnesota SR 5-2
5 John Poznanski Rutgers FR 3-1
6 Taylor Venz Nebraska SR 4-2
7 Max Lyon Purdue SR 4-4
8 Zach Braunagel Illinois SO 4-4
9 Nelson Brands Iowa SO 3-2
10 Rocky Jordan Ohio State SO 4-5
11 Kyle Cochran Maryland JR 4-5
12 Jaden Bullock Michigan FR 2-3
13 Jon Halvorsen Northwestern RS FR 1-5
14 Santos Cantu III Indiana FR 0-1

 here

DEFENDING CHAMPION: Aaron Brooks, Penn State
PROJECTED CHAMPION: Brooks over Venz
BIG TEN AUTOMATIC QUALIFYING SPOTS: 8
THOUGHTS: Aaron Brooks came out on top of a seemingly wide-open field last year and given that there hasn't been an influx of top challengers to the weight this year, it's hard not to predict him to pick up another title. As far as Iowa goes, this is the only weight where Iowa doesn't have a top-3 seed. In fact, based on seeds, this is the only weight where Iowa isn't projected to land an automatic qualifying slot. He'd need to improve on his seed by one to earn one of those qualifying slots. He didn't get an easy road to do that, though. He'll get Braunagel in his first match, who beat him 3-1 in overtime earlier this season. If he avenges that loss here, his reward would be a matchup with Brooks in the quarters. Barring a big upset, he's probably going to need to do work in the consolation bracket to lock up a spot in the NCAA Tournament field. 

197 lbs

SEED WRESTLER SCHOOL ELIG REC
1 Eric Schultz Nebraska SR 8-0
2 Myles Amine Michigan SR 3-0
3 Jacob Warner Iowa JR 4-1
4 Cam Caffey Michigan State JR 5-2
5 Lucas Davison Northwestern SO 3-1
6 Thomas Penola Purdue SO 7-2
7 Michael Beard Penn State FR 3-1
8 Matt Wroblewski Illinois JR 5-3
9 Gavin Hoffman Ohio State SO 4-5
10 Billy Janzer Rutgers SO 2-2
11 Garrett Joles Minnesota SO 3-6
12 Jaron Smith Maryland SR 1-6
13 Nick Willham Indiana SO 2-6
14 Andrew Salemme Wisconsin JR 0-7

DEFENDING CHAMPION: n/a
PROJECTED CHAMPION: Schultz over Warner
BIG TEN AUTOMATIC QUALIFYING SPOTS: 6
THOUGHTS: This weight looked like a two-man race between Warner and Schultz, but new faces from other weights could throw a wrench into things. Amine was a top guy at 174 lbs and Caffey was a top contender at 184 lbs, so they could certainly make some noise at 197 lbs. Warner might need to get past Amine in the semis and Schultz in the final to win it all here. Schultz has had the better of Warner lately, so I'd favor him slightly here. 

285 lbs

SEED WRESTLER SCHOOL ELIG REC
1 Gable Steveson Minnesota JR 9-0
2 Mason Parris Michigan JR 6-0
3 Tony Cassioppi Iowa SO 4-1
4 Luke Luffman Illinois SO 6-2
5 Christian Lance Nebraska SR 6-3
6 Trent Hillger Wisconsin JR 3-2
7 Greg Kerkvliet Penn State FR 2-0
8 Tate Orndorff Ohio State JR 4-5
9 Christian Rebottaro Michigan State SR 1-4
10 Jack Heyob Northwestern SO 1-4
11 Christian Colucci Rutgers SR 0-2
12 Dorian Keys Purdue FR 2-4
13 Rudy Streck Indiana JR 1-5
14 Garrett Kappes Maryland FR 0-5

DEFENDING CHAMPION: Gable Steveson, Minnesota
PROJECTED CHAMPION: Steveson over Parris
BIG TEN AUTOMATIC QUALIFYING SPOTS: 7
THOUGHTS: Steveson and Parris are the clear class of the field here, although Kerkvliet was a major recruit and a potential quarterfinal matchup between him and Parris could be very interesting. Steveson should win it all again here, but there may be some intrigue on the podium behind him. As far as Iowa goes, I'm curious to see if Cassioppi has maintained his gap ahead of Hillger -- and if he's been able to improve enough to narrow the gap between himself and Parris. Hopefully we get to find that out in the quarterfinals and semifinals. 

As far as the team title... it's obviously Iowa's to lose. 

FINISH TEAM POINTS
1 Iowa 147.0
2 Penn State 93.5
3 Michigan 83.5
4 Ohio State 69.5

Iowa has a pretty big margin of error by virtue of having so many top-seeded guys. If all (or most) of Iowa's wrestlers perform to expectations, this tournament should be a coronation for Iowa. Tomorrow we get to see how it all starts to go down. 

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